Trump keeps talking about election fraud. The cost of fraud and the likelihood it will be exposed are very high. And the potential gain of fraud is actually very small in a national-scale election. Error has a far larger actual effect on national voting than any amount of historical actual fraud. Trump just stokes this narrative so he has a wedge to challenge a process that is actually very hard to manipulate in this manner.
It can be manipulated in many other ways, but outright fraud is one of the least effective ways. Personally, I see this impending Republican loss as a win. Trump was too poor an instrument to win this cultural battle. He is a part of the problem, the conservative mirror to the liberal extreme. Using him to fix things is like using flamethrowers to stop a hurricane.
So we lose this election strategically so we can set up a better option for next time. Someone wiser and more balanced. And Biden is probably the best case scenario for a democratic win. His sealing the nomination made the extremes of his party very angry, and that should be reassuring. He’s not what the hard left really wanted.
Now the real question is, will the left or the right learn any lessons from all this? The real lesson is that the extremes in both parties are the real threat, and people in the middle need to come together to push back and resist the extremes on both sides. Ideally the extremes in your own party, not the extremes in the other party. You get more results from cleaning your own house than bulldozing your neighbor’s, which you might not know well enough or have enough understanding of to effectively manage and judge and critique and don’t have cache and authority over.
Trump and AOC are mirrors to one another. And we need to push both of them back to the fringe and demand and give attention to people who preach caution, understanding, politeness, thoughtfulness, collaboration, unity, decorum, restraint, discussion, and patience no matter what party they come from.